We're going to Turin for a convention in early July. Any chance flights will go down in price before then?
Well, summer is high season and oil prices are skyrocketing!
It doesn't seem likely that prices will get lower but no one here has a good crystal ball so cannot guarantee anything.
Yes as soon as oil goes way below $100 a barrel. Till then what you see now is probably as low as it will be.
A better question may be- will fares go up?
Summer in Italy is always an expensive undertaking. It's unlikely fares will go down IMHO. When I go, I go in June to save.
Doubt it. I've been watching flights to Europe since last August, for this summer and they've done nothing but go up in price.
I tend to agree with the others in that we can't know-- for sure-- where fares will or won't go... but.. there are some factors that go into that pricing formula that we can see-- and therefore gives us some leading indicators as to where fares might go..
I personally see three 'strikes' to lower fares and one 'wild card' that could be a game-changer..
Fuel... at over $100/barrel, and this is the airlines #1 or #2 expense.. so nothing here to tell me fares are going lower.. Strike #1
Demand.. Summer season.. simple supply and demand..and summer travel to Europe has traditionally been strong across the years.. Strike #2
Supply.. With a few less carriers out there than in years past (i.e no more CO and UA, only UA and no more NW and DL, only DL) you're looking at fewer carriers and this tends to drives fares up... Strike #3
Wild Card.. The economy.. both US and Euro.. While the US appears to be showing very, very, very modest signs of some growth, IF the economy takes a sudden or dramatic downward drop, this could hurt discretionary demand (the leisure travelers)... much like you saw in 2007 with the spectacularly sharp rise in fuel prices... and corresponding near immediate hike in fares and resumption of fuel-surcharges.. and the corresponding drop-off in travelers-- specially the higher-yielding Business passengers.
However, at this point-- mid to late February, I suspect most people who are going or planning to go, have either committed and bought their tickets, or are on the verge of doing so.. therefore any sudden shift in the economy for these folks would largely be moot as the purchasing decision for their trip has/had already been made...
Overall, I'm just not seen an operating "landscape" that leads me to believe lower fares on on the horizon.. or are in our immediate near future.
1) You haven't said where you're originating
2) You haven't mentioned your dates
3) You haven't mentioned the prices you're seeing
4) Nobody knows whether prices will go up or down but based on the three above people can give you at least a vague answer as opposed to a complete shot in the dark.
Summary: How are we supposed to know?
I purchased tickets today on US Air from NC to Paris for June, one short stop in charlotte. 1,387 dollars... i've never paid so much to fly overseas but i see the prices keep ticking upwards. at least i have a no hassle flight.
i found some flights just a bit cheaper but when you factor in gas for driving, you save nothing.
good luck and here's to cheap flights for all!
i checked airfare today, just out of curiosity, and it is down about 50 dollars for same exact route i booked about two months ago. I guess peace of mind is worth the bit of extra money.
Once I buy my tickets, I never go back to check airfare. I never feel better if it goes down!